Where this stands
The regulatory floor moved down. The duty did not.
About 1.2 million people live in the 14,700 nursing homes in the United States on a given day, across 1.6 million licensed beds, and 72.4 percent of those facilities are for-profit. The easy story about them is that abuse is exploding. The data does not support that story, and an expert who leads with it gets dismantled. Antipsychotic use among long-stay residents fell 40.6 percent between the fourth quarter of 2011 and the second quarter of 2025 — from 23.9 percent to 14.2 percent — on CMS's own quality measure. A 2023 systematic review and meta-analysis of eighteen prospective nursing home studies found that fall incidence generally decreased from 1998 to 2021. And the most consequential regulatory event of the last two years ran the other way entirely: the federal minimum staffing standard was vacated by two district courts, suspended by statute until September 30, 2034, and formally repealed by CMS effective February 2, 2026.
The true story is harder and considerably more useful. The regulatory floor moved down; the duty did not. The Nursing Home Reform Act still requires a facility to provide services that attain or maintain “the highest practicable physical, mental, and psychosocial well-being of each resident,” and every quality-of-care requirement in 42 CFR Part 483 stands untouched. Exposure keeps climbing regardless: in CNA's study of aging services liability claims closed between January 1, 2021 and December 31, 2023, resident falls and pressure injuries alone accounted for 63.2 percent of closed claims, and the average total incurred on a resident abuse claim in skilled nursing rose 45.7 percent, to $375,338. The record on which those claims are tried is also less reliable than it looks: in September 2025 HHS-OIG reported that facilities failed to report 43 percent of falls with major injury and hospitalization in required resident assessments, and that the facilities publishing the lowest fall rates were the least likely to have reported them.
What actually decides these matters is narrower than the rhetoric on either side, and CMS wrote the test itself. In the surveyor guidance for pressure injuries, a harm is “avoidable” if the facility failed to evaluate the resident's clinical condition and risk factors, define and implement interventions consistent with professional standards of practice, monitor and evaluate their impact, or revise them as appropriate — and “unavoidable” if it did all four. Assess, plan, implement, revise. That same four-verb structure governs decline in activities of daily living, loss of range of motion, and nutritional status, each carrying its own express exception for what the resident's clinical condition made inevitable. Half the answers that test produces favor the facility. That is why it is worth publishing plainly.
This Center is anchored by two Vident Partners experts who answer the half of these cases that nursing testimony is least equipped to reach. Al Vangura Jr., M.S., CPSI, is a forensic biomechanist with an M.S. in Bioengineering from the University of Pittsburgh and nearly forty years in product design, development, and testing — including twenty-five in medical devices — retained on more than 400 cases split evenly between plaintiff and defense and qualified to testify twenty-nine times across thirteen states on injury mechanism, fall analysis, assistive and patient-handling equipment, and warnings. Nicholas A. Alfonso, M.D., is a fellowship-trained orthopedic trauma surgeon and Assistant Professor of Orthopedics at the University of Colorado Anschutz School of Medicine, with more than twenty-six peer-reviewed publications on fracture fixation, limb salvage, and fracture-related infection — the clinical endpoint of both the hip fracture after a fall and the osteomyelitis under a Stage 4 sacral wound. Whether the event described can produce the injury found, and what that injury then required, are the two questions that most often decide the number.